I don't know and it would be best to ask a balloon pilot but I suspect it's 90% based on calmer conditions to they can better plot and control their flight path. But also the temperature differential is probably a factor - the difference in temperature between the air in the balloon and the ambient air is greater when it's cooler, so the balloon has more lift. Don't they hold a giant balloon fest down hear Tuscon - or is somewhere else? I've seen photos of dozens of balloons in a desert environment somewhere.
Yep, it's held here in the coldest part of the year. I've been to a couple of them just to break up the monotony of nothing to do on a Sunday morning. The home of balloon festival is Albuquerque I believe and is the largest in the country, Tucson second.
I even went on a balloon ride about a week after the festival. Got to the site just before sunrise. The temp was above freezing but not over 40 yet as it was cold. We all helped with getting the balloon laid out, and watched it inflate until it was ready for flight just after daylight. I felt like a plant in a hanging pot as almost 20 of us were stuffed into that small basket. We flew about 10 miles, about 1+ hour, along the south face of the Catalina Mountains westward to the flat lands near Maranna.
It was still a lot of open desert then and you could see a lot of Cholla there. We were done with our ride about then, and instead of the pilot setting down in freshly cleared ground for housing, he instead kept us airborne until we got over that open desert with all the Cholla.
What was funny about the landing is the little wind you get will cause the basket to roll onto a side as you are landing. I was on the bottom of about 4 people, and the way I was hunched, my chest was about 1" from testing the sharpness of hundreds of thorns. I was wearing my field jacket with a liner so it wouldn't have been as bad as another of the unlucky plants.
It was a guy from England, and he would be on a flight from Tucson back to England at about 11 am. He had to have had over 500 thorns from the Teddy Bear Cholla. One of the passengers was a nurse, and another was helping her pluck the thorns because the nurse always had tweezers, and another just happened to some also. It took over 30 minutes for them to remove what they could see. Also, when you get stuck, the thorn has a skin that most times will break off from the thorn and stay in you. Sometimes they will irritate for days. I'm pretty sure the thorn recipient had a great flight home.
The pilot disappeared as soon as the ground crew showed up to disassemble and pack up the balloon. One of them indicated the pilot was in hearings and would probably lose his license.
Dogs don't like balloons flying over their house. ................. Nubs